Monday, December 6, 2021

The Informer's Poker Journey: Day 1


 Whenever I tell anyone that I am a semi-professional poker player (semi-pro only in the sense that I log alot of hours) their first question always is: "Are you any good?"

My response is usually the same: "Yes I am a great poker player."

That is usually followed up by: "So you win a bunch of money?"

The answer to the second question is actually the reason I have decided to write this blog. You see the last  few months I have not been making a bunch of money from poker. In fact, I have been losing a bunch of money at poker (seriously stop playing online poker.). 

Because of this losing, I have decided it is time to document my poker sessions to help me stop my leaks, turn my game around and get back to being a winning player. 

So from here on out, whenever I play a game of poker, I am going to document it with this blog. 

What does document mean?

Mainly it means I am going to recount the evening's poker session; re-live the good hands and bad beats; tell some funny stories; give some poker insight/strategy; and finally, I am hoping I will be able to put it altogether is a fun readable blog that helps hold The Informer accountable for his poker actions.

Okay, now that we know why we are here, let me answer one last question before we get to Day 1. 

Q: What makes you so great at poker Informer? And if you are so great why are you such a loser with no friends?

First of all, The Informer has friends. I swear. 

Secondly, I am a great poker player because I know all the rules, strategies, theories, optimal game play, etc . . . I have studied, practiced, read and devoted many hours of my life to honing my craft. Lastly, I am a difficult player to read and I am a lunatic with chips (in the poker world I think I am called an Arrgo Maniac) but in a way that means I am not afraid to use my chips as a weapon in order to win (in other words if The Informer smells fear in a player I am not afraid to throw out huge bets I know they will not call in order to take down a pot I have no business winning).

So am I great? I think so. But that is what this blog is for. To figure out that question with actual scientific evidence instead of Informer drunken biology theories.

Finally, to answer the last question: "Why am I such a loser?" Right now The Informer is a loser for one very simple reasons which is: Despite knowing how to properly play the game of poker, I sometimes stop playing the proper way because I love to gamble. 

Let me give you an example.

Two weeks ago I was playing with one of my favorite players at my local casino (one of my favorites because he is a diamond member and always gets my beers comped for me which is like a 50-75 dollar bonus every time I walk into a casino). On this particular night the man in question was running out of chips and trying to make a move so he raised pre-flop all in for his last $100 dollars (note-- I play what is called cash games -- not tournaments -- so when I say someone is betting $100 they are actually betting $100 dollars). 

Of course since this is a 1-3 game (low stakes) a $100 bet is always looked at with some fear by many of the other players. Naturally, because no one wanted to give up that much money on the flip of the cards, everyone folded until it got back to The Informer. And here is where my knowledge of poker and my need to gamble kicked each other square in the d*cks. 

You see, when I looked down at my cards I found that I was holding 7-2 off suit (known as the official worst had in poker). Holding 7-2 off suit means that this is the easiest fold of the day, night, year and of all time. No one in their right mind would call $100 pre-flop with 7-2 off suit. Well, nobody that is, except a slighty drunk having a good time Informer who wanted to give actions (you see for The Informer the action is the juice). 

So being the gambler that I am, I looked at the original raiser (lets call  him Tom) and said "Tom you always get me free beers and I would hate to see your good hand go to waste . . . I call with the worst hand in poker". 

Then I slid my chips into the pot while a stunned table was looking on in disbelief, disgust, disorinated and basically any other word that starts with "dis". They were shocked to say the least(and some probably licking their lips seeing how big of a fish was at there table). Naturally since he had raised $100 pre-flop Tom was holding a mighty Ace-King and was a huge favorite. But favorite or not is not the point of the story. The point is that night The Informer was having fun and gambling (not playing poker) which is the reason I have been losing lately. It has nothing to do with my skill level. It has nothing to do with getting good cards are bad cards. It literally has nothing to do with any poker related material. I am losing simply because I do not treat poker like a money making operation. I treat it like I want to get drunk and gamble. That simple. I am an action junky. 

The action junky needs to stop though. I need to buckle down and play winning poker. I need to make some extra money. I need to follow my own damn rules and never drink more that 13 beers at the poker table. And in order to do that I need to hold The Informer accountable. 

This blog is going to do that. So with that in mind, how about we talk about Day 1 of The Informer's poker journey?

(Informer note: For privacy reasons I will never share exact win totals or losses. Ill give details like "it was a $70 pot" and such but I will never say "I lost $1600 last night but won 2300 the next". I just dont feel comfortable sharing exact dollar amounts. So in order to keep some records, here is a glossary of terms I will use and what they will mean in regards to money

Won Some / Lost Some 50-300 dollars

Great Day / Terrible Day 300-1000

Holy F*cking Shitballs 1000-3000 day

I'm retiring to Las Vegas: Any day winning over 3k would qualify

I'm going to get blackout drunk for six days straight: Any day losing over 3k would qualify)

DAY 1

The good news, The Informer received 8 free 16oz Beers (at $6 bucks a pop that is $48 worth of booze). The bad news? The Informer gambled on two flush draws at the wrong time and walked away with a terrible day. 

With that said, here is some funny hands/stuff that happened. 

The Informer raised $20 with the Jack and nine of Diamonds (in 1-3 a $20 raise is an over raise but I play very aggressive and almost always raise 10-20 bucks no matter what if I am playing a hand). The table folds around to one other guy who then re-rasies to $65 bucks. That means this dude has a great hand (either AA, KK). I knew I was well behind, but at that same time I already had $20 bucks in the pot and kinda felt like cracking aces (when a person beats another person who is holding pocket rockets it is called cracking acces). Because of this desire to topple the behemoth, the Informer made the call for $45 more and saw a flop of 9-10-2 with two diamonds (means I now have a pair and a flush draw). Of course the guy with Aces (he hasnt showed his cards yet but it is now obvious he has them) raises all in for what was basically $200 more of my money. Aces or not, The Informer called knowing I only I needed one diamond or another nine or jack to win. Of course a diamond hits on the turn and The Informer doubles up by cracking aces. 

Why is this story interesting? 

Because the guy immediately gets up and starts yelling how shitty of a poker player I am and how no one in their right mind should call $65 pre-flop raise with Jack-9. He quickly left the table after letting me know how much I sucked, stopped at the front of the room and recounted to anyone who would listen how bad I sucked and then left the casino ( I am assuming in tears, but definitely in an agitated state). 

So what was my response to all this: I just looked around the table and said "I like to party".

Everyone laughed and of course started licking their chops to take all my money. 

Anyways there was a few other fun stories. One time I called a raise and then bet into the original raiser (who I respected and had alot of fun bullshitting with about my drunken gambling) who then looked at me and said "Did you hit the ace?"

The Informer, being the stone cold assasin on the felt that I am, looked right back at him smiled and said "I sure did". 

He laughed then folded and I showed my Ace so the whole table could see how easy I was to read (literally just ask me if I got it and Ill tell you). 

A while later after I started getting loose with chips (this will happen when I drink to much and at this point in the story I had been up since 9pm the night before -- it was 3pm -- and had been drinking since 7am) a good player was racking up his chips to leave. I immediately told him "dude you know you can't leave when there is a drunk fish at the table right?" I then did the Rob Van Damn point to myself as the guy left the room. To bad for him. 

Last story. Had a lady and another gentlemen change seats to our table because they were upset that someone at the the other table was argo raising and not playing real poker. They couldn't stand it they said. They were there to have fun and play real poker. Of course, one of the guys was the dude whose aces I cracked. The other lady didnt last long at a table with your hero (argo raise is my middle name. Seriously it is The Argo Raiser Informer).

Other than that it was a pretty standard 5.5 hour session of poker. Your hero was up $700 at one point, lost that down to $45, worked that back up to $450 before finally losing a $400 all in when my flush failed to hit against another guy's top pair overbet all in (PS-- this isnt even a gamble folks. You gotta be willing to chase that flush. If you do you will see massive rewards).

On that note, The Informer will not be playing poker again for 2-3 weeks due to real life stuff. But starting with the very next session The Informer is going to start from scratch (marking a Zero in the winning and losing column), quit playing gamble poker (no more drunken 7-2 calls) and show the world I am the Matt Damon of No Limit Holdem. 

And at this time in 2022 (one year from now) thanks to this blog we are going to find out if The Informer really is a great poker player or if I am just a mega fish drunk whale who gambles a ton and pays other people's rent.

I honestly cant wait. 

#LetsPlaySomeFuckingCards


(Photo of The Informer's poker room. Ill get better pictures next session. Hopefully you all liked the blog. Please leave any questions or comments on @therealinformer twitter page. Also for those wondering, I ended up hitting trip sevens and taking down Ace-King with 7-2. It was a fun night.)



Monday, June 8, 2020

The Informer's 2020 NFL Fantasy Football Preview: Draft #1



For those clicking on an Informer blog for the first time please allow me to introduce myself: My name is The Informer and I am a self-glossed fantasy football expert. My credentials for this "self-glossing" are as follows: I play fantasy football and I once started Ryan Leaf in a week where he completed 1 of 15 passes for 4 yards.

Anyways, which means please don't interrupt the expert while I am blogging, the reason we are here is to try and help you the reader draft the perfect fantasy football team for the upcoming 2020 NFL Season.

Now, in order to accomplish this goal, The Informer is taking it upon himself to draft an un-Tebowly amount of fantasy teams (trying to join 50 "real money" leagues this year) and then I will share my experience and insights from each draft. The thinking is you will learn from The Informer's success, failures, mistakes and triumphs; so when it is time for your draft you will be able to devise the perfect strategy needed to dominate.

Ok, now that we have the "who's and the what's" figured out, the last thing I want to mention before we start is that I am breaking down my team from a "$12 real money league" 10-team auction draft on Yahoo dot com (Yahoo has the best paid fantasy leagues on the internet).

I am pointing out that this is a "$12 real money league" in order to show everyone reading that this was not a fake "mock draft" where two people took it seriously; seven people auto drafted; and one guy spent $174 on the Denver Broncos defense because his third cousin's brother's friend Tami once saw John Elway with his shirt off.

No, this team was drafted into a league with real stakes up for grabs (stakes as in prize money, not the stuff you dip into ketchup) which means The Informer really needs to win so I can pay my bills is fully invested in said team's success.

And on that note, here is Team 1 of The Informer's 2020 NFL Fantasy Football Preview.  

STARTING LINEUP (1 QB, 1 RB, 2 WR, 2 Flex, 1 TE, 1 K & 1 Def)

QB - Matt Ryan ($2)

There is nothing sexy about drafting year 12 of the Matty Ice experience, but for $2 I was able to draft a QB with nine straight 4,000 yard passing seasons who also throws the ball to Julio Jones. Considering I spent all my other draft money on four players, being able to pick up the consistency of the Falcons leader was huge.

RB - Saquon Barkley ($70)

My goal entering every 2020 auction draft is to buy two of the Barkley-Run CMC-Zeke trio. In this draft I was able to snag Barkley, but in the end The Informer got gun shy and did not pull the trigger on CMC ($74) or Zeke ($71) to form the dynamic duo.

Will this lack of guts cost The Informer money in this league? I don't think so, but we will see. Will this lack of guts  haunt The Informer's dreams for the next eight months? Absolutely.

WR - Julio Jones ($44)

WR - AJ Green ($20)

Many fantasy pundits will say that I underpaid for Julio (no reason he is not going for $50), but that I in turn overpaid for AJ (should be in the $10-$15 range). The Informer would say that is why they are pundits and not experts. Because in The Informer's "expert" opinion; I definitely under paid for Julio, but I got a steal with AJ.

The scientific facts to my AJ case are simple: Once the pre-season starts and everyone sees a healthy Green doing what a healthy Green does (making defensive backs his beeotch) his price is going to go up into the mid 30s.

So getting him for $20 is an expert win for The Informer.

Flex - Derrick Henry ($59)

Flex - Damian Williams ($2)

I think the Tennessee Titans are going to give Derrick Henry 400 carries this year. I also think that if the Tennessee Titans give Derrick Henry 400 carries this year, that will mean Derrick Henry is going to rush for 2,000 yards. And if Derrick Henry runs for 2,000 yards he will be worth every penny of his $59 price tag.

As for Damian Williams; I know the Chiefs drafted a running back in the first round, but my feeling is that the Chiefs and their veteran offense are still going to ride Williams while they integrate the new rookie into their lineup. So for me, I would rather spend $2 on Williams than the $40 that was spent on Clyde Edwards-Helaire.

With that said, The Informer does reserve the right to change my mind once we actually get to watch football and see if the Edwards-Helaire hype is real or media made up. Until that time though, The Informer will not be spending Josh Jacobs type money on an unknown when I can have the "almost won a Super Bowl MVP" running back who plays on the same high octane offense.

TE - Noah Fant ($1)

I drafted Fant and TJ Hockenson because I think both guys are going to be second year studs this season. And, well, if The Informer is correct on even one of these guys --then I just got myself a Top 10 player at his position for a buck. How many other guys/positions (kickers and defense obviously not counted) will you be able to say that about in 2020?

Kicker - A guy for $1

Defense - A defense for $1

My life philosophy has always been you only spend $2 total for your defense and kicker. With that said; if you want to spend a few bucks on Justin Tucker (the only kicker you are allowed to spend more than $1 on), or say the 49ers defense, I am not going to be upset with you. I would just say use caution and don't forsake drafting someone like DK Metcalf because you want to save money for the Arizona defense. 

THE RESERVES 

BN - Julian Edelman ($4)

BN - Darius Slayton ($1)

BN - James White ($1)

BN - Henry Ruggs III ($1)

BN - Sammy Watkins ($1)

BN - Tee Higgins ($1)

BN - TJ Hockenson

Julian Edelman is a risk without Tom Brady, but for $4 I think he is a low risk with potential for high reward. Darius Slayton was tied for ninth in the NFL in TD catches last season, so he is a good $1 buy low guy. I picked up James White hoping he has a bigger role now that Tom Brady is gone. Ruggs & Higgins are my rookie lottery tickets. Hockenson I already expressed how I feel about. And finally, I drafted Sammy Watkins because he has Patrick Mahomes at quarterback.

THE INFORMER'S FINAL DRAFT THOUGHTS


Biggest Reach/Mistake (Hashtag: Did somebody say steak?)

This is the dreaded "I got caught up in a bidding war and over spent on a guy" award. In this draft, I would say the dude who spent $40 on Edwards-Helaire made the biggest mistake. But I would also argue The Informer made the biggest reach by ponying up $59 for Derrick Henry. Now, I am not saying Henry was a bad buy, I am just saying that Henry will probably go for $48-$52 in most drafts; so going that far over "Henry budget" has to be considered a reach.


The Informer's "I got me eye on you" Best Future Values

I know that every draft is different, so values will change from draft to draft, but judging on these results alone here are my favorite value guys (guys with cheap/good price tags) that I will be keeping my eye on going forward: Nick Chubb ($49), Josh Jacobs ($36), Melvin Gordon ($15), Cooper Kupp ($14), Zach Ertz ($11), Devin Singletary ($12), Tyler Lockett ($9), Amari Cooper ($10 WHAT?!!!), Kyler Murray ($6 gonna be a huge year), Courtland Sutton ($8), DK Metcalf ($5) and Marquise Brown ($4).

Best Team The Informer Could Have Had If "if's and buts was candies and nuts"

Based on the amount of money spent on every player, here is the best possible team I think The Informer could have drafted if everything had gone perfectly (We had a $210 Budget to fill the roster):

QB - Lamar Jackson ($28)

RB - Zeke ($71)

WR - DK Metcalf ($5)

WR - Amari Cooper ($10)

Flex - Barkley ($70)

Flex  - Devin Singletary ($12)

TE - Noah Fant ($1 seriously gonna be great this year)

K - One Dollar

D - One Dollar

BN- CeDee Lamb ($1)

BN - Austin Hooper ($1)

BN -Ronald Jones ($1)

BN - Damian Williams ($2)

BN - Phillip Lindsay ($1)

BN - Darius Slayton ($1)

BN - Baltimore's "Hollywood" Brown ($4)

Now, while I really liked the way "The Informer Team #1" turned out, any logical fantasy expert can look at the above "hypothetical team" and see there is room to improve. Which means, it is time for The Informer to stop blogging and get back to drafting.

Peace and hair grease y'all. The Informer will be back with Team #2 soon.

Hashtag: "Draft well & Prosper."



Sunday, December 29, 2019

The Informer's 2019 NFL Picks: Week 17 (Aka the last blog of the decade)


Before we get to the Week 17 NFL Picks, I figured we would close the decade out by answering a few twitter questions. As always, please remember that all of these questions came from an actual "Informer burner account" on Twitter.

I hope you are entertained.

My awards are:

MVP: Lamar Jackson - Anyone who does not vote Lamar the NFL MVP this season deserves to loose there ballot.

Coach of Year: John Harbaugh - When you have the best record in football because you design a system around your players -- instead of trying to make players fit "your system" -- then you automatically get to be The Informer's COY.

Rookie of the Year: AJ Brown - With all due respect to Josh Jacobs, Kyler Murray, Danny Dimes, Gunner Milksteak and the other great 2019 rookies; AJ Brown has the resume to win ROY and he is actually playing on a playoff team. So he gets my vote.

Offensive Player of the Year: Michael Thomas - Anytime you break Marvin Harrison's NFL record for most catches in a single season you are going to win The Informer's Offensive Player of the Year Award.

Defensive Player of the Year: Ummm . . .I don't watch defense so I guess I'll go with one of the Bosa brothers or a Watt. You guys pick.

NFL Handicapper of the Year: I don't want to toot this guys horn to much, but The Informer is currently 136-99-5 against the spread (which according to NFL pick watch dot com makes him #1 on the internet amongst all experts). So I guess I really have no choice but to give The Informer "The Informer's handicapper of the year" award.


I have five:
  1. Drink all the Natties
  2. Eat all the Blimpies
  3. Put Ketchup on my steak
  4. Write more blogs
  5. Post more Twitter Poll Tournaments.  

Sure why not.

Mount Rushmore of Movies:
  • Fast & Furious 5
  • Fast & Furious 6
  • Fast & Furious 7
  • Fate of the Furious
Movies not named Fast & Furious:
  • The Town
  • Warrior
  • The Dark Knight
  • Super Troopers 2
Fast Food Places
  • Blimpies
  • Casey's Pizza
  • Taco Bell
  • Jersey Mike's
TV Shows:
  • Its Always Sunny in Philadelphia
  • Blue Bloods
  • Chicago PD
  • Gotham
Songs:
  • Miley Cyrus- Nothing Breaks Like a Heart
  • Florida Georgia Line - May We All
  • Brantley Gilbert - Bottoms Up
  • Cole Swindell - You Should Be Here
And Finally, The Informer's NFL All Decade Team:

QB: Tom Brady
RB: Adrian Peterson
RB: Marshawn Lynch
WR: Julio Jones
WR: Calvin Johnson
Slot WR: Julian Edelman
TE: Gronk

Defense: Again, The Informer don't watch no defense. You guys can pick.



I can't see the future, but sadly this feels about right.

(My Super Picks as of writing this blog - Bears, Titans, Eagles, Packers, 49ers. Just know these picks will probably get changed to Ravens, Rams, Eagles, Packers, 49ers. Or maybe Ravens, Rams, Colts, Pats, Packers. Basically I have no freaking clue what to do. I just know if I go 5-0 and I am going to make money. #DefGonnaChoke #ClassicInformer)



Good gosh man. Why don't you just say I can never drink Natty Lights again. At least that wouldn't be so painful.

(The Informer note - I take Mahomes because I love Mahomes, but f-word that is a tough call. )


Ummm . . .Did you all see that Burrow guy throwing the football for LSU yesterday? Heck no I don't want AJ to leave the Bengals. He is about to be playing with the greatest quarterback in NFL history not named Mahomes. That has to be a good for "The Sickness".


QB:
  1. Mahomes
  2. Lamar Jackson
  3. DeShaun Watson
  4. Matt Ryan
  5. Kyler Murray/Russ Wilson
RB:
  1. Run CMC
  2. Saquon Barkley
  3. Alvin Kamara
  4. Derrick Henry
  5. Nick Chubb
WR:
  1. Michael Thomas
  2. Julio Jones
  3. DeAndre Hopkins
  4. AJ Green
  5. Tyreke Hill
TE:
  1. Travis Kelce
  2. George Kittle
  3. Zack Ertz
  4. Hunter Henry
  5. Noah Fant

In no particular order (I love them all equally like one loves their children equally):



This was one of the hardest decisions I have ever had to make. I am not kidding. In the end I went:
  • Ken Griffey Jr Baseball (SNES)
  • Tecmo Super Football (NES)
  • Madden (PS3 & PS4)
  • NCAA College Football (PS2 & PS3)


With all due respect to the time my brother Matty was born on December 29th, I am going with Randy Moss doing Randy Moss things while leading the Pats to a 16-0 record and breaking the NFL record for touchdown catches in a season.



As you can see The Informer only needs four wins to reach 140 correct picks on the season for the second time in his career. The Informer also needs to go 5-0 in his Super Picks contest to win money to buy the wife's mini van a new transmission. So needless to say, we might as well just go 16-0 today. Seems like that would be the perfect solution to The Informer's problems.

So with that in mind, here are The Informer's Week 17 NFL Picks. As always, please remember these picks are only to be used for illegal gambling purpose. Any other use without the express written consent of The Informer is totally not strictly prohibited because this is a blog and no one is reading anyways.

#Yolo

THE PICKS:

Titans (-8.5)

Bengals (+3)

Bears (-3)

Colts (-6.5)

Falcons (+1)

Redskins (+13)

Panthers (+14)

Eagles (-4)

Ravens (PK)

Jets (PK)

Patriots (-16.5)

Packers (-12.5)

Chargers (+10.5)

Rams (-7.5)

49ers (-3.5)

Raiders (+3.5)

That is a wrap on another winning season. Good luck Week 17 y'all. I hope your Sunday is filled with Natty Lights, winning parlays, Super Pick Contest wins and all the illegal gambling money you're heart desires.

In the words of Bill Belichick: "We are on to 2020".

Informer Out.


2019 NFL PICKS RECORD

Overall - 136-99-5
Last Week - 8-7-1
Winning Weeks - 12-3-1