Monday, June 8, 2020

The Informer's 2020 NFL Fantasy Football Preview: Draft #1



For those clicking on an Informer blog for the first time please allow me to introduce myself: My name is The Informer and I am a self-glossed fantasy football expert. My credentials for this "self-glossing" are as follows: I play fantasy football and I once started Ryan Leaf in a week where he completed 1 of 15 passes for 4 yards.

Anyways, which means please don't interrupt the expert while I am blogging, the reason we are here is to try and help you the reader draft the perfect fantasy football team for the upcoming 2020 NFL Season.

Now, in order to accomplish this goal, The Informer is taking it upon himself to draft an un-Tebowly amount of fantasy teams (trying to join 50 "real money" leagues this year) and then I will share my experience and insights from each draft. The thinking is you will learn from The Informer's success, failures, mistakes and triumphs; so when it is time for your draft you will be able to devise the perfect strategy needed to dominate.

Ok, now that we have the "who's and the what's" figured out, the last thing I want to mention before we start is that I am breaking down my team from a "$12 real money league" 10-team auction draft on Yahoo dot com (Yahoo has the best paid fantasy leagues on the internet).

I am pointing out that this is a "$12 real money league" in order to show everyone reading that this was not a fake "mock draft" where two people took it seriously; seven people auto drafted; and one guy spent $174 on the Denver Broncos defense because his third cousin's brother's friend Tami once saw John Elway with his shirt off.

No, this team was drafted into a league with real stakes up for grabs (stakes as in prize money, not the stuff you dip into ketchup) which means The Informer really needs to win so I can pay my bills is fully invested in said team's success.

And on that note, here is Team 1 of The Informer's 2020 NFL Fantasy Football Preview.  

STARTING LINEUP (1 QB, 1 RB, 2 WR, 2 Flex, 1 TE, 1 K & 1 Def)

QB - Matt Ryan ($2)

There is nothing sexy about drafting year 12 of the Matty Ice experience, but for $2 I was able to draft a QB with nine straight 4,000 yard passing seasons who also throws the ball to Julio Jones. Considering I spent all my other draft money on four players, being able to pick up the consistency of the Falcons leader was huge.

RB - Saquon Barkley ($70)

My goal entering every 2020 auction draft is to buy two of the Barkley-Run CMC-Zeke trio. In this draft I was able to snag Barkley, but in the end The Informer got gun shy and did not pull the trigger on CMC ($74) or Zeke ($71) to form the dynamic duo.

Will this lack of guts cost The Informer money in this league? I don't think so, but we will see. Will this lack of guts  haunt The Informer's dreams for the next eight months? Absolutely.

WR - Julio Jones ($44)

WR - AJ Green ($20)

Many fantasy pundits will say that I underpaid for Julio (no reason he is not going for $50), but that I in turn overpaid for AJ (should be in the $10-$15 range). The Informer would say that is why they are pundits and not experts. Because in The Informer's "expert" opinion; I definitely under paid for Julio, but I got a steal with AJ.

The scientific facts to my AJ case are simple: Once the pre-season starts and everyone sees a healthy Green doing what a healthy Green does (making defensive backs his beeotch) his price is going to go up into the mid 30s.

So getting him for $20 is an expert win for The Informer.

Flex - Derrick Henry ($59)

Flex - Damian Williams ($2)

I think the Tennessee Titans are going to give Derrick Henry 400 carries this year. I also think that if the Tennessee Titans give Derrick Henry 400 carries this year, that will mean Derrick Henry is going to rush for 2,000 yards. And if Derrick Henry runs for 2,000 yards he will be worth every penny of his $59 price tag.

As for Damian Williams; I know the Chiefs drafted a running back in the first round, but my feeling is that the Chiefs and their veteran offense are still going to ride Williams while they integrate the new rookie into their lineup. So for me, I would rather spend $2 on Williams than the $40 that was spent on Clyde Edwards-Helaire.

With that said, The Informer does reserve the right to change my mind once we actually get to watch football and see if the Edwards-Helaire hype is real or media made up. Until that time though, The Informer will not be spending Josh Jacobs type money on an unknown when I can have the "almost won a Super Bowl MVP" running back who plays on the same high octane offense.

TE - Noah Fant ($1)

I drafted Fant and TJ Hockenson because I think both guys are going to be second year studs this season. And, well, if The Informer is correct on even one of these guys --then I just got myself a Top 10 player at his position for a buck. How many other guys/positions (kickers and defense obviously not counted) will you be able to say that about in 2020?

Kicker - A guy for $1

Defense - A defense for $1

My life philosophy has always been you only spend $2 total for your defense and kicker. With that said; if you want to spend a few bucks on Justin Tucker (the only kicker you are allowed to spend more than $1 on), or say the 49ers defense, I am not going to be upset with you. I would just say use caution and don't forsake drafting someone like DK Metcalf because you want to save money for the Arizona defense. 

THE RESERVES 

BN - Julian Edelman ($4)

BN - Darius Slayton ($1)

BN - James White ($1)

BN - Henry Ruggs III ($1)

BN - Sammy Watkins ($1)

BN - Tee Higgins ($1)

BN - TJ Hockenson

Julian Edelman is a risk without Tom Brady, but for $4 I think he is a low risk with potential for high reward. Darius Slayton was tied for ninth in the NFL in TD catches last season, so he is a good $1 buy low guy. I picked up James White hoping he has a bigger role now that Tom Brady is gone. Ruggs & Higgins are my rookie lottery tickets. Hockenson I already expressed how I feel about. And finally, I drafted Sammy Watkins because he has Patrick Mahomes at quarterback.

THE INFORMER'S FINAL DRAFT THOUGHTS


Biggest Reach/Mistake (Hashtag: Did somebody say steak?)

This is the dreaded "I got caught up in a bidding war and over spent on a guy" award. In this draft, I would say the dude who spent $40 on Edwards-Helaire made the biggest mistake. But I would also argue The Informer made the biggest reach by ponying up $59 for Derrick Henry. Now, I am not saying Henry was a bad buy, I am just saying that Henry will probably go for $48-$52 in most drafts; so going that far over "Henry budget" has to be considered a reach.


The Informer's "I got me eye on you" Best Future Values

I know that every draft is different, so values will change from draft to draft, but judging on these results alone here are my favorite value guys (guys with cheap/good price tags) that I will be keeping my eye on going forward: Nick Chubb ($49), Josh Jacobs ($36), Melvin Gordon ($15), Cooper Kupp ($14), Zach Ertz ($11), Devin Singletary ($12), Tyler Lockett ($9), Amari Cooper ($10 WHAT?!!!), Kyler Murray ($6 gonna be a huge year), Courtland Sutton ($8), DK Metcalf ($5) and Marquise Brown ($4).

Best Team The Informer Could Have Had If "if's and buts was candies and nuts"

Based on the amount of money spent on every player, here is the best possible team I think The Informer could have drafted if everything had gone perfectly (We had a $210 Budget to fill the roster):

QB - Lamar Jackson ($28)

RB - Zeke ($71)

WR - DK Metcalf ($5)

WR - Amari Cooper ($10)

Flex - Barkley ($70)

Flex  - Devin Singletary ($12)

TE - Noah Fant ($1 seriously gonna be great this year)

K - One Dollar

D - One Dollar

BN- CeDee Lamb ($1)

BN - Austin Hooper ($1)

BN -Ronald Jones ($1)

BN - Damian Williams ($2)

BN - Phillip Lindsay ($1)

BN - Darius Slayton ($1)

BN - Baltimore's "Hollywood" Brown ($4)

Now, while I really liked the way "The Informer Team #1" turned out, any logical fantasy expert can look at the above "hypothetical team" and see there is room to improve. Which means, it is time for The Informer to stop blogging and get back to drafting.

Peace and hair grease y'all. The Informer will be back with Team #2 soon.

Hashtag: "Draft well & Prosper."



Sunday, December 29, 2019

The Informer's 2019 NFL Picks: Week 17 (Aka the last blog of the decade)


Before we get to the Week 17 NFL Picks, I figured we would close the decade out by answering a few twitter questions. As always, please remember that all of these questions came from an actual "Informer burner account" on Twitter.

I hope you are entertained.

My awards are:

MVP: Lamar Jackson - Anyone who does not vote Lamar the NFL MVP this season deserves to loose there ballot.

Coach of Year: John Harbaugh - When you have the best record in football because you design a system around your players -- instead of trying to make players fit "your system" -- then you automatically get to be The Informer's COY.

Rookie of the Year: AJ Brown - With all due respect to Josh Jacobs, Kyler Murray, Danny Dimes, Gunner Milksteak and the other great 2019 rookies; AJ Brown has the resume to win ROY and he is actually playing on a playoff team. So he gets my vote.

Offensive Player of the Year: Michael Thomas - Anytime you break Marvin Harrison's NFL record for most catches in a single season you are going to win The Informer's Offensive Player of the Year Award.

Defensive Player of the Year: Ummm . . .I don't watch defense so I guess I'll go with one of the Bosa brothers or a Watt. You guys pick.

NFL Handicapper of the Year: I don't want to toot this guys horn to much, but The Informer is currently 136-99-5 against the spread (which according to NFL pick watch dot com makes him #1 on the internet amongst all experts). So I guess I really have no choice but to give The Informer "The Informer's handicapper of the year" award.


I have five:
  1. Drink all the Natties
  2. Eat all the Blimpies
  3. Put Ketchup on my steak
  4. Write more blogs
  5. Post more Twitter Poll Tournaments.  

Sure why not.

Mount Rushmore of Movies:
  • Fast & Furious 5
  • Fast & Furious 6
  • Fast & Furious 7
  • Fate of the Furious
Movies not named Fast & Furious:
  • The Town
  • Warrior
  • The Dark Knight
  • Super Troopers 2
Fast Food Places
  • Blimpies
  • Casey's Pizza
  • Taco Bell
  • Jersey Mike's
TV Shows:
  • Its Always Sunny in Philadelphia
  • Blue Bloods
  • Chicago PD
  • Gotham
Songs:
  • Miley Cyrus- Nothing Breaks Like a Heart
  • Florida Georgia Line - May We All
  • Brantley Gilbert - Bottoms Up
  • Cole Swindell - You Should Be Here
And Finally, The Informer's NFL All Decade Team:

QB: Tom Brady
RB: Adrian Peterson
RB: Marshawn Lynch
WR: Julio Jones
WR: Calvin Johnson
Slot WR: Julian Edelman
TE: Gronk

Defense: Again, The Informer don't watch no defense. You guys can pick.



I can't see the future, but sadly this feels about right.

(My Super Picks as of writing this blog - Bears, Titans, Eagles, Packers, 49ers. Just know these picks will probably get changed to Ravens, Rams, Eagles, Packers, 49ers. Or maybe Ravens, Rams, Colts, Pats, Packers. Basically I have no freaking clue what to do. I just know if I go 5-0 and I am going to make money. #DefGonnaChoke #ClassicInformer)



Good gosh man. Why don't you just say I can never drink Natty Lights again. At least that wouldn't be so painful.

(The Informer note - I take Mahomes because I love Mahomes, but f-word that is a tough call. )


Ummm . . .Did you all see that Burrow guy throwing the football for LSU yesterday? Heck no I don't want AJ to leave the Bengals. He is about to be playing with the greatest quarterback in NFL history not named Mahomes. That has to be a good for "The Sickness".


QB:
  1. Mahomes
  2. Lamar Jackson
  3. DeShaun Watson
  4. Matt Ryan
  5. Kyler Murray/Russ Wilson
RB:
  1. Run CMC
  2. Saquon Barkley
  3. Alvin Kamara
  4. Derrick Henry
  5. Nick Chubb
WR:
  1. Michael Thomas
  2. Julio Jones
  3. DeAndre Hopkins
  4. AJ Green
  5. Tyreke Hill
TE:
  1. Travis Kelce
  2. George Kittle
  3. Zack Ertz
  4. Hunter Henry
  5. Noah Fant

In no particular order (I love them all equally like one loves their children equally):



This was one of the hardest decisions I have ever had to make. I am not kidding. In the end I went:
  • Ken Griffey Jr Baseball (SNES)
  • Tecmo Super Football (NES)
  • Madden (PS3 & PS4)
  • NCAA College Football (PS2 & PS3)


With all due respect to the time my brother Matty was born on December 29th, I am going with Randy Moss doing Randy Moss things while leading the Pats to a 16-0 record and breaking the NFL record for touchdown catches in a season.



As you can see The Informer only needs four wins to reach 140 correct picks on the season for the second time in his career. The Informer also needs to go 5-0 in his Super Picks contest to win money to buy the wife's mini van a new transmission. So needless to say, we might as well just go 16-0 today. Seems like that would be the perfect solution to The Informer's problems.

So with that in mind, here are The Informer's Week 17 NFL Picks. As always, please remember these picks are only to be used for illegal gambling purpose. Any other use without the express written consent of The Informer is totally not strictly prohibited because this is a blog and no one is reading anyways.

#Yolo

THE PICKS:

Titans (-8.5)

Bengals (+3)

Bears (-3)

Colts (-6.5)

Falcons (+1)

Redskins (+13)

Panthers (+14)

Eagles (-4)

Ravens (PK)

Jets (PK)

Patriots (-16.5)

Packers (-12.5)

Chargers (+10.5)

Rams (-7.5)

49ers (-3.5)

Raiders (+3.5)

That is a wrap on another winning season. Good luck Week 17 y'all. I hope your Sunday is filled with Natty Lights, winning parlays, Super Pick Contest wins and all the illegal gambling money you're heart desires.

In the words of Bill Belichick: "We are on to 2020".

Informer Out.


2019 NFL PICKS RECORD

Overall - 136-99-5
Last Week - 8-7-1
Winning Weeks - 12-3-1


Sunday, December 22, 2019

The Prodigy's 2019 NFL Picks: Week 16



Hey all by now you know the drill, The Prodigy is a 9-year wiz kid with some of the best NFL picks on the internet. So if you like to listen to people who hand out winners, then I would highly recommend you check out the video below #DoItAndWin.